UK politics live: Sajid Javid says ‘too early to know’ the lessons that can be learned from Covid crisis | Politics


The winter as a whole, I regret to say, is going to be exceptionally difficult for the NHS and general practice is going to be absolutely at the forefront of this, unfortunately.

That is irrespective of whether we have a relatively low but non trivial amount of Covid, or whether we actually have a further surge in the winter.

If you ask 100 modellers, you’re going to get over 100 answers exactly as to how this is going to go out. I think what we’re confident of is the very top end that we would have faced, potentially if things had gone wrong [like] last winter, is not going to happen, barring an extraordinary escape variant …

I think the top end risks are much lower, but we could certainly go up. We are only two to three doubling times away from really quite serious pressure on the NHS – it’s already serious but one that would be very difficult to deal with.

So, the margin of error is quite small.

Zero Covid over this winter is…

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