The Implications of a Harris Presidency on the Future of the Sino-American Relationship

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Like Banquo’s ghost at the feast, a harbinger of a certain reckoning, a significant factor that overshadows and could upset and complicate Sino-American relations within the scope of the first term of Biden administration is the possibility that Biden leaves office for health or other reasons before the completion of his full four-year term. Were this to occur, then there will be three major consequences that would adversely impact U.S. interests in the Indo-Pacific region.  

First, this change would introduce a period of uncertainty for the friends and foes of the United States who would seek to capitalize upon any seams in the change of government from a Biden to Harris administration. These cleavages would not necessarily be deep within the administration as many of the personnel and policies would remain similar—at least in the near term. The gap with Congress equally might not be significant depending upon whether a transition occurred…

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