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Donald Trump’s pollster thinks he will run for the White House again in 2024, with a clear path to victory through five states he lost to Joe Biden in 2020: Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.

But Michael Cohen, Trump’s former attorney and fixer who is fresh out of house arrest, thinks he will not.

“His fragile ego cannot stand to be considered a two-time loser,” Cohen said on Monday.

Trump lost the five states in question by narrow margins – defeats he refuses to accept, continuing to promote the lie that Biden won thanks to electoral fraud, which led to deadly violence at the US Capitol on 6 January.

Politico obtained a memo from Trump’s pollster, Tony Fabrizio, which said a poll carried out for the former president’s fundraising committee put him up over Biden in all five states, by margins ranging from three points in Georgia to 12 in Michigan.

In recent books about the Trump administration, Fabrizio…

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